Oberliga Nord

Leipzig vs Hammer Eisbären prediction

Leipzig7–3–1 · Home Hammer Eisbären6–5–0 · Away08:00 PMOct 30

60%win chance incl. overtime40%

Our pick

60%LEI60%LEI

Leipzig to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.66 · projected 3–2

Our model makes Leipzig 60% favourites at home against Hammer Eisbären, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

LEILeipzig in 60'

51%

Tied → OTTied → OT

17%

HAMHammer Eisbären in 60'

32%

Game flow

LEI 3.6 · HAM 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.9

P2 · 1.3–0.9

P3 · 1.1–1.1

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Leipzig60%1.66
Regulation result (60 minutes)Leipzig51%1.95
Puck lineHammer Eisbären +1.564%1.56
Total goalsOver 6.552%1.93
Both teams to scoreYes92%1.09

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Leipzig

60%fair 1.66

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Leipzig

51%fair 1.95

Puck line

Hammer Eisbären +1.5

64%fair 1.56

Total goals

Over 6.5

52%fair 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes

92%fair 1.09

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Leipzig vs Hammer Eisbären?

Our model makes Leipzig 60% favourites at home against Hammer Eisbären, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

Leipzig have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 4.4 and allowing 2.2 goals a game over that stretch. Hammer Eisbären have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Leipzig sit 4th, while Hammer Eisbären sit 5th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Leipzig rate +0.20 and Hammer Eisbären +0.02 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.18 goals to Leipzig. Home ice is worth about 0.47 goals a game in this league.

About 17% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Leipzig win it in regulation only 51% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 60%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Leipzig 1, Hammer Eisbären 0); the latest finished Hammer Eisbären 2–4 Leipzig on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Leipzig −1.5 on the puck line (36%) and 6.5 total goals, with the over at 52% (6.6 projected).

Leipzig to win, overtime and shootout included (60%). Projected score: 3–2.