Oberliga Nord

Füchse Duisburg vs Neuwied prediction

Füchse Duisburg7–2–2 · Home Neuwied4–7–0 · Away07:30 PMOct 30

69%win chance incl. overtime31%

Our pick

69%FÜC69%FÜC

Füchse Duisburg to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.45 · projected 4–3

Our model makes Füchse Duisburg 69% favourites at home against Neuwied, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 4–3 final.

After 60 minutes

FÜCFüchse Duisburg in 60'

61%

Tied → OTTied → OT

15%

NEUNeuwied in 60'

25%

Game flow

FÜC 4.4 · NEU 3.1 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.2–1.0

P2 · 1.6–1.2

P3 · 1.6–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Füchse Duisburg69%1.45
Regulation result (60 minutes)Füchse Duisburg61%1.64
Puck lineNeuwied +1.553%1.87
Total goalsUnder 7.552%1.93
Both teams to scoreYes94%1.06

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Füchse Duisburg

69%fair 1.45

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Füchse Duisburg

61%fair 1.64

Puck line

Neuwied +1.5

53%fair 1.87

Total goals

Under 7.5

52%fair 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes

94%fair 1.06

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Füchse Duisburg vs Neuwied?

Our model makes Füchse Duisburg 69% favourites at home against Neuwied, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 4–3 final.

Füchse Duisburg have won 5 of their last 5, scoring 5.6 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch. Neuwied have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 4.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Füchse Duisburg sit 3rd, while Neuwied sit 9th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Füchse Duisburg rate +0.33 and Neuwied −0.55 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.87 goals to Füchse Duisburg. Home ice is worth about 0.47 goals a game in this league.

About 15% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Füchse Duisburg win it in regulation only 61% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 69%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Füchse Duisburg 1, Neuwied 0); the latest finished Neuwied 3–6 Füchse Duisburg on 2026-09-16.

Our own lines for this game: Füchse Duisburg −1.5 on the puck line (47%) and 7.5 total goals, with the under at 52% (7.7 projected).

Füchse Duisburg to win, overtime and shootout included (69%). Projected score: 4–3.