Oberliga Nord

Erfurt vs Halle prediction

Erfurt2–9–0 · Home Halle6–5–0 · Away08:00 PMOct 30

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%HAL51%HAL

Halle to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.98 · projected 3–4

Our model makes Halle 51% favourites on the road against Erfurt, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 4–3 final.

After 60 minutes

ERFErfurt in 60'

41%

Tied → OTTied → OT

17%

HALHalle in 60'

42%

Game flow

ERF 3.6 · HAL 3.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–1.2

P2 · 1.5–1.1

P3 · 1.1–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Halle51%1.98
Regulation result (60 minutes)Halle42%2.37
Puck lineErfurt +1.572%1.40
Total goalsUnder 7.557%1.77
Both teams to scoreYes95%1.06

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Halle

51%fair 1.98

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Halle

42%fair 2.37

Puck line

Erfurt +1.5

72%fair 1.40

Total goals

Under 7.5

57%fair 1.77

Both teams to score

Yes

95%fair 1.06

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who will win Erfurt vs Halle?

Our model makes Halle 51% favourites on the road against Erfurt, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 4–3 final.

Erfurt have won 0 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 5.6 goals a game over that stretch. Halle have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.6 and allowing 3.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Erfurt sit 12th, while Halle sit 6th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Erfurt rate −0.64 and Halle −0.13 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.51 goals to Halle. Home ice is worth about 0.47 goals a game in this league.

About 17% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Halle win it in regulation only 42% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 51%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Erfurt 0, Halle 1); the latest finished Halle 6–2 Erfurt on 2026-09-18.

Our own lines for this game: Halle −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 7.5 total goals, with the under at 57% (7.4 projected).

Halle to win, overtime and shootout included (51%). Projected score: 4–3. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.