NHL

Nashville Predators vs New York Islanders prediction

Nashville Predators3–3–3 · Home New York Islanders5–3–2 · Away08:00 PMOct 27

49%win chance incl. overtime51%

Our pick

51%NEW51%NEW

New York Islanders to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.96 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with New York Islanders (51%) on the road against Nashville Predators, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

NASNashville Predators in 60'

39%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

NEWNew York Islanders in 60'

40%

Game flow

NAS 2.7 · NEW 2.8 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.1–0.9

P2 · 0.8–1.1

P3 · 0.9–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)New York Islanders51%1.96
Regulation result (60 minutes)New York Islanders40%2.48
Puck lineNashville Predators +1.575%1.34
Total goalsUnder 5.552%1.93
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

New York Islanders

51%fair 1.96

Regulation result (60 minutes)

New York Islanders

40%fair 2.48

Puck line

Nashville Predators +1.5

75%fair 1.34

Total goals

Under 5.5

52%fair 1.93

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Nashville Predators

Last game: Oct 22

74SarosProjected

FF9ForsbergLW RO90O'ReillyC SS91StamkosRW

1st line

9:10 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Filip Forsberg LW	17:30	1	7	8
90	Ryan O'Reilly C	16:35	4	3	7
91	Steven Stamkos RW	14:04	4	5	9

24 points this season

MB22BourqueLW AK14KerfootC JM81MarchessaultRW

2nd line

9:37 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
22	Mavrik Bourque LW	14:36	0	1	1
14	Alexander Kerfoot C	16:59	1	2	3
81	Jonathan Marchessault RW	16:10	1	1	2

6 points this season

RS49SchaeferLW JD18DruryC AE84EdströmRW

3rd line

6:49 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
49	Reid Schaefer LW	11:36	0	0	0
18	Jack Drury C	17:27	1	1	2
84	Adam Edström RW	16:58	4	0	4

6 points this season

NH21HöglanderLW RC79ColtonC MW71WoodRW

4th line

2:35 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
21	Nils Höglander LW	12:12	3	0	3
79	Ross Colton C	11:19	1	1	2
71	Matthew Wood RW	11:24	1	1	2

7 points this season

RJ59JosiD AW2WilsbyD

1st pair

19:24 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
59	Roman Josi D	24:29	1	8	9
2	Adam Wilsby D	22:09	0	4	4

13 points this season

NH41HagueD JS3StrubleD

2nd pair

17:17 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
41	Nicolas Hague D	20:13	0	1	1
3	Jayden Struble D	18:07	0	0	0

1 points this season

BS76SkjeiD IL46LyubushkinD

3rd pair

13:59 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
76	Brady Skjei D	17:46	0	2	2
46	Ilya Lyubushkin D	16:11	0	0	0

2 points this season

FF9ForsbergF RO90O'ReillyF JM81MarchessaultF

SS91StamkosF RJ59JosiD

Power play unit 1

0:59 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
9	Filip Forsberg F	17:30	1	7	8
90	Ryan O'Reilly F	16:35	4	3	7
81	Jonathan Marchessault F	16:10	1	1	2
91	Steven Stamkos F	14:04	4	5	9
59	Roman Josi D	24:29	1	8	9

35 points this season

JD18DruryF AK14KerfootF

AW2WilsbyD BS76SkjeiD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:24 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
18	Jack Drury F	17:27	1	1	2
14	Alexander Kerfoot F	16:59	1	2	3
2	Adam Wilsby D	22:09	0	4	4
76	Brady Skjei D	17:46	0	2	2

11 points this season

AE84EdströmF RO90O'ReillyF

RJ59JosiD IL46LyubushkinD

Penalty kill unit 2

1:10 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
84	Adam Edström F	16:58	4	0	4
90	Ryan O'Reilly F	16:35	4	3	7
59	Roman Josi D	24:29	1	8	9
46	Ilya Lyubushkin D	16:11	0	0	0

20 points this season

Goalies: Juuse Saros #74 (Projected) · Justus Annunen #29 (Backup)

New York Islanders

Last game: Oct 22

30SorokinProjected

KP21PalmieriLW BH14HorvatC SH92HolmströmRW

1st line

12:14 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
21	Kyle Palmieri LW	16:45	2	1	3
14	Bo Horvat C	21:33	5	4	9
92	Simon Holmström RW	20:50	4	1	5

17 points this season

EH51HeinemanLW BS10SchennC VE38EklundRW

2nd line

12:22 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
51	Emil Heineman LW	17:05	2	2	4
10	Brayden Schenn C	17:17	2	4	6
38	Victor Eklund RW	17:44	3	1	4

14 points this season

AD11DuclairLW JP44PageauC OP81PalátRW

3rd line

10:27 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
11	Anthony Duclair LW	14:43	2	1	3
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	16:23	1	4	5
81	Ondřej Palát RW	12:53	2	1	3

11 points this season

KM32MacLeanLW CC53CizikasC MC26ChaffeeRW

4th line

7:00 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
32	Kyle MacLean LW	8:03	0	0	0
53	Casey Cizikas C	10:32	1	1	2
26	Mitchell Chaffee RW	9:06	0	0	0

2 points this season

MS48SchaeferD LS8StanleyD

1st pair

15:33 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
48	Matthew Schaefer D	29:24	1	7	8
8	Logan Stanley D	20:02	0	5	5

13 points this season

AP3PelechD RP6PulockD

2nd pair

11:55 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
3	Adam Pelech D	20:03	0	2	2
6	Ryan Pulock D	18:32	0	0	0

2 points this season

77DeAngeloD MK4KesselD

3rd pair

10:16 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
77	Tony DeAngelo D	18:10	0	0	0
4	Matthew Kessel D	13:30	0	2	2

2 points this season

BH14HorvatF SH92HolmströmF BS10SchennF

KP21PalmieriF MS48SchaeferD

Power play unit 1

3:02 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
14	Bo Horvat F	21:33	5	4	9
92	Simon Holmström F	20:50	4	1	5
10	Brayden Schenn F	17:17	2	4	6
21	Kyle Palmieri F	16:45	2	1	3
48	Matthew Schaefer D	29:24	1	7	8

31 points this season

SH92HolmströmF JP44PageauF

AP3PelechD RP6PulockD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:04 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
92	Simon Holmström F	20:50	4	1	5
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau F	16:23	1	4	5
3	Adam Pelech D	20:03	0	2	2
6	Ryan Pulock D	18:32	0	0	0

12 points this season

Penalty kill unit 2: No such unit in that game.

Goalies: Ilya Sorokin #30 (Projected) · Semyon Varlamov #40 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (5)

Justus Annunen · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Juuse Saros · Coordinator50, CC BY 4.0
Tony DeAngelo · 5of7, CC BY-SA 2.0
Semyon Varlamov · Gary McCabe, CC BY-SA 2.0
Ilya Sorokin · Пресс-служба Президента России, CC BY 4.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Juuse Saros NAS

.906 save percentage

2.82 GAA · 3–2–2 · 7 starts

Ilya Sorokin NEW

.934 save percentage

1.72 GAA · 5–2–0 · 1 shutout · 7 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (2)

Juuse Saros · Coordinator50, CC BY 4.0
Ilya Sorokin · Пресс-служба Президента России, CC BY 4.0

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Adam EdströmNAS · C · 4 G in 6 GP · 6 GP4228%3.63
Ryan O'ReillyNAS · C · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4426%3.89
Bo HorvatNEW · C · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5325%3.97
Simon HolmströmNEW · RW · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4324%4.20
Steven StamkosNAS · C · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4424%4.25
Victor EklundNEW · RW · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3220%5.09
Nils HöglanderNAS · LW · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3019%5.22
Anthony DuclairNEW · LW · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2217%5.96
Matias MaccelliNEW · LW · 2 G in 10 GP · 10 GP2315%6.69
Alexander KerfootNAS · C · 1 G in 6 GP · 6 GP1112%8.14

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Nashville Predators vs New York Islanders?

The numbers side with New York Islanders (51%) on the road against Nashville Predators, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Nashville Predators have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 3.8 goals a game over that stretch. New York Islanders have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 2.0 goals a game over that stretch.

Nashville Predators sit 11th in the Western Conference, while New York Islanders sit 8th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Nashville Predators rate −0.15 and New York Islanders +0.15 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.30 goals to New York Islanders. Home ice is worth about 0.24 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives New York Islanders 40% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

Our own lines for this game: New York Islanders −1.5 on the puck line (25%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 52% (5.8 projected).

New York Islanders to win, overtime and shootout included (51%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.