HOCKEYORA
NHL

Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild prediction

Utah Mammoth7–4–0 · HomeMinnesota Wild6–3–2 · Away
54%win chance incl. overtime46%

Our pick

54%UTA

Utah Mammoth to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.85 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Utah Mammoth (54%) at home against Minnesota Wild, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

UTA
44%
Tied → OT
20%
MIN
36%

Game flow

UTA 3.1 · MIN 2.9 expected goals in 60 minutes

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds
  • Moneyline (incl. overtime)Utah Mammoth54%1.85
  • Regulation result (60 minutes)Utah Mammoth44%2.29
  • Puck lineMinnesota Wild +1.572%1.40
  • Total goalsOver 5.555%1.83
  • Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Utah Mammoth

Last game: Oct 22

Forwards

  1. 1st line7 min together
    9LWKellerClayton16CTrocheckVincent11RWGuentherDylan
  2. 2nd line4 min together
    67LWCrouseLawson8CSchmaltzNick92RWCooleyLogan
  3. 3rd line9 min together
    72LWLeeAnders27CHaytonBarrett56RWYamamotoKailer
  4. 4th line8 min together
    50LWButDaniil82CStenlundKevin22RWMcBainJack

Defence

  1. 1st pair15 min together
    98DSergachevMikhail52DWeegarMacKenzie
  2. 2nd pair11 min together
    20DPeekeAndrew88DSchmidtNate
  3. 3rd pair6 min together
    26DSimashevDmitri57DDeSimoneNick

Goalies

Minnesota Wild

Last game: Oct 22

Forwards

  1. 1st line12 min together
    12LWBoldyMatt14CEkJoel Eriksson97RWKaprizovKirill
  2. 2nd line8 min together
    20LWColemanBlake38CHartmanRyan10RWBrinkBobby
  3. 3rd line7 min together
    61LWLorenzRieger13CTreninYakov22RWYurovDanila
  4. 4th line6 min together
    78LWSturmNico47CMcCarronMichael19RWPitlickTyler

Defence

  1. 1st pair13 min together
    43DHughesQuinn25DBrodinJonas
  2. 2nd pair8 min together
    46DSpurgeonJared48DHuntDaemon
  3. 3rd pair8 min together
    24DBogosianZach3DMäättäOlli

Goalies

How we read the lines: from the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop.

Mikhail Sergachev: Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0; Nick DeSimone: Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0; Tyler Pitlick: Connor Mah, CC BY-SA 3.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Karel Vejmelka UTA

.872 save percentage

3.04 GAA · 5–3–0 · 1 shutout · 8 starts

Jesper Wallstedt MIN

.915 save percentage

2.19 GAA · 6–2–2 · 10 starts

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits: Karel Vejmelka: Quintin Soloviev, CC BY-SA 4.0 · Wikimedia Commons

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included
PlayerChanceFair odds

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Utah Mammoth vs Minnesota Wild?

The numbers side with Utah Mammoth (54%) at home against Minnesota Wild, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Utah Mammoth have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.8 and allowing 4.2 goals a game over that stretch. Minnesota Wild have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.6 and allowing 3.2 goals a game over that stretch.

Utah Mammoth sit 4th in the Western Conference, while Minnesota Wild sit 5th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Utah Mammoth rate +0.20 and Minnesota Wild +0.20 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.00 goals to Utah Mammoth. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Utah Mammoth 44% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 20%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

Our own lines for this game: Utah Mammoth −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 55% (6.2 projected).

Utah Mammoth to win, overtime and shootout included (54%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.

Team leaders

Utah MammothThis seasonMinnesota Wild

Season totals in this competition from the scoresheets so far (11 games per team); current squads only.

Recent form

Utah Mammoth

L3–5W5–4L2–6W4–2W5–4

Minnesota Wild

L1–2OTL3–4W2–1W5–4L2–5

W win · OTL loss in overtime or a shootout · L loss in regulation

Head to head

No recent meetings on record.

Also scheduled

Other games that day