NHL

Chicago Blackhawks vs Los Angeles Kings prediction

Chicago Blackhawks3–7–0 · Home Los Angeles Kings2–4–2 · Away08:00 PMOct 27

48%win chance incl. overtime52%

Our pick

52%LOS52%LOS

Los Angeles Kings to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.92 · projected 2–3

The numbers side with Los Angeles Kings (52%) on the road against Chicago Blackhawks, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

CHIChicago Blackhawks in 60'

38%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

LOSLos Angeles Kings in 60'

42%

Game flow

CHI 2.9 · LOS 3.0 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.9–1.0

P2 · 1.0–1.0

P3 · 0.9–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Los Angeles Kings52%1.92
Regulation result (60 minutes)Los Angeles Kings42%2.40
Puck lineChicago Blackhawks +1.573%1.37
Total goalsOver 5.553%1.87
Both teams to scoreYes90%1.11

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Los Angeles Kings

52%fair 1.92

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Los Angeles Kings

42%fair 2.40

Puck line

Chicago Blackhawks +1.5

73%fair 1.37

Total goals

Over 5.5

53%fair 1.87

Both teams to score

Yes

90%fair 1.11

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Lines

Lines from the last game · may change

Chicago Blackhawks

Last game: Oct 23

1st line

7:30 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
80	Roman Kantserov LW	16:52	3	0	3
98	Connor Bedard C	16:28	2	2	4
88	Patrick Kane RW	17:17	1	5	6

13 points this season

59BertuzziLW AF16FrondellC

86TeräväinenRW

2nd line

3:49 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
59	Tyler Bertuzzi LW	14:35	2	3	5
16	Anton Frondell C	12:56	1	5	6
86	Teuvo Teräväinen RW	12:44	2	3	5

16 points this season

8DonatoLW

91NazarC

11MooreRW

3rd line

6:48 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
8	Ryan Donato LW	12:07	2	1	3
91	Frank Nazar C	15:54	3	1	4
11	Oliver Moore RW	10:27	2	1	3

10 points this season

12GreenwayLW RG20GreeneC CS22SmithRW

4th line

7:15 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
12	Jordan Greenway LW	11:06	1	0	1
20	Ryan Greene C	9:49	0	2	2
22	Cole Smith RW	10:18	1	1	2

5 points this season

72VlasicD

28ColeD

1st pair

10:52 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
72	Alex Vlasic D	17:59	0	2	2
28	Ian Cole D	17:03	0	0	0

2 points this season

44KaiserD

55LevshunovD

2nd pair

10:59 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
44	Wyatt Kaiser D	15:13	0	3	3
55	Artyom Levshunov D	14:57	1	2	3

6 points this season

6RinzelD

38MastroD

3rd pair

7:17 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
6	Sam Rinzel D	14:24	1	1	2
38	Ethan Del Mastro D	9:09	0	0	0

2 points this season

88KaneF RK80KantserovF

98BedardF

59BertuzziF

86TeräväinenF

Power play unit 1

4:40 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
88	Patrick Kane F	17:17	1	5	6
80	Roman Kantserov F	16:52	3	0	3
98	Connor Bedard F	16:28	2	2	4
59	Tyler Bertuzzi F	14:35	2	3	5
86	Teuvo Teräväinen F	12:44	2	3	5

23 points this season

91NazarF AF16FrondellF

8DonatoF

11MooreF

6RinzelD

Power play unit 2

2:30 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
91	Frank Nazar F	15:54	3	1	4
16	Anton Frondell F	12:56	1	5	6
8	Ryan Donato F	12:07	2	1	3
11	Oliver Moore F	10:27	2	1	3
6	Sam Rinzel D	14:24	1	1	2

18 points this season

Penalty kill unit 1

0:57 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
91	Frank Nazar F	15:54	3	1	4
12	Jordan Greenway F	11:06	1	0	1
72	Alex Vlasic D	17:59	0	2	2
28	Ian Cole D	17:03	0	0	0

7 points this season

Penalty kill unit 2: No such unit in that game.

Goalies: Spencer Knight #30 (Projected) · Arvid Söderblom #40 (Backup)

Los Angeles Kings

Last game: Oct 22

1st line

14:07 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
10	Artemi Panarin LW	21:28	6	3	9
9	Adrian Kempe C	20:09	3	4	7
14	Alex Laferriere RW	22:52	2	5	7

23 points this season

56HaulaLW AL47LeeC

36ZuccarelloRW

2nd line

10:02 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
56	Erik Haula LW	16:52	1	3	4
47	Andre Lee C	14:53	0	0	0
36	Mats Zuccarello RW	14:27	0	1	1

5 points this season

12MooreLW

21LaughtonC

40ArmiaRW

3rd line

9:04 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
12	Trevor Moore LW	13:34	1	1	2
21	Scott Laughton C	13:20	1	1	2
40	Joel Armia RW	12:14	1	1	2

6 points this season

JW25WrightLW

79HeleniusC

90PerryRW

4th line

7:20 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI
25	Jared Wright LW	10:09
79	Samuel Helenius C	9:44
90	Corey Perry RW	10:18

0 points this season

64GustafssonD

92ClarkeD

1st pair

9:59 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
64	Erik Gustafsson D	22:45	1	1	2
92	Brandt Clarke D	19:54	2	5	7

9 points this season

44AndersonD

2DumoulinD

2nd pair

15:13 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
44	Mikey Anderson D	21:06	0	1	1
2	Brian Dumoulin D	18:41	1	0	1

2 points this season

8DoughtyD

6EdmundsonD

3rd pair

8:18 together at 5-on-5

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
8	Drew Doughty D	21:58	0	1	1
6	Joel Edmundson D	17:23	0	0	0

1 points this season

Power play unit 1

0:42 together on the power play

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
14	Alex Laferriere F	22:52	2	5	7
10	Artemi Panarin F	21:28	6	3	9
9	Adrian Kempe F	20:09	3	4	7
36	Mats Zuccarello F	14:27	0	1	1
92	Brandt Clarke D	19:54	2	5	7

31 points this season

Power play unit 2: No such unit in that game.

56HaulaF AL47LeeF

44AndersonD

2DumoulinD

Penalty kill unit 1

1:02 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
56	Erik Haula F	16:52	1	3	4
47	Andre Lee F	14:53	0	0	0
44	Mikey Anderson D	21:06	0	1	1
2	Brian Dumoulin D	18:41	1	0	1

6 points this season

Penalty kill unit 2

0:57 together on the penalty kill

#	Player	TOI	G	A	P
56	Erik Haula F	16:52	1	3	4
40	Joel Armia F	12:14	1	1	2
8	Drew Doughty D	21:58	0	1	1
6	Joel Edmundson D	17:23	0	0	0

7 points this season

Goalies: Anton Forsberg #31 (Projected) · Darcy Kuemper #35 (Backup)

Swipe the rink to switch units

How we read the lines

From the NHL’s shift charts, the three forwards and the two defencemen who shared the most 5-on-5 ice time, ranked by time on ice. Coaches shuffle lines often, so treat them as a guide until puck drop. Power-play and penalty-kill units: the five (on the power play) or four (on the penalty kill) skaters who were on the ice together the longest in that situation. TOI: ice time in that game. G, A, P: goals, assists and points this season.

Photo credits (34)

Connor Bedard · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Patrick Kane · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Tyler Bertuzzi · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Teuvo Teräväinen · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Ryan Donato · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Frank Nazar · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Oliver Moore · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Jordan Greenway · Surveytrevor, CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Vlasic · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Ian Cole · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0
Wyatt Kaiser · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Artyom Levshunov · Trevor Cokley (U.S. Air Force Academy), Public domain
Sam Rinzel · SecretName101, CC BY 4.0
Ethan Del Mastro · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Spencer Knight · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Arvid Söderblom · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Artemi Panarin · Tlop2000, CC BY-SA 4.0
Adrian Kempe · Ryan Tanner, CC0
Alex Laferriere · Kenneth C. Zirkel, CC BY 4.0
Erik Haula · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0
Mats Zuccarello · Lillehammer 2016 Youth Olympic Games from Norway, CC BY 2.0
Trevor Moore · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Scott Laughton · Jessica, CC BY-SA 2.0
Joel Armia · mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0
Samuel Helenius · Kaiser matias, CC BY-SA 4.0
Corey Perry · mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0
Erik Gustafsson · Albin Olsson, CC BY-SA 3.0
Brandt Clarke · TheAHL, CC BY-SA 4.0
Mikey Anderson · All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0
Brian Dumoulin · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 3.0
Drew Doughty · mark6mauno, CC BY-SA 2.0
Joel Edmundson · Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0
Darcy Kuemper · Pens Through My Lens, CC BY-SA 4.0
Anton Forsberg · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Goalie duel

Projected

Projected from recent starts · confirmed at puck drop

Spencer Knight CHI

.888 save percentage

3.52 GAA · 3–5–0 · 8 starts

Anton Forsberg LOS

.883 save percentage

2.63 GAA · 0–1–1 · 2 starts

Back-up expected: second night of a back-to-back

Teams do not name their goalie before the game. We expect the No. 1 unless his team played the night before, when the back-up usually starts; last season that call was right about two times in three. Our win chances do not depend on it.

Photo credits (2)

Spencer Knight · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Anton Forsberg · Lisa Gansky from New York, NY, USA, CC BY-SA 2.0

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Artemi PanarinLOS · LW · 6 G in 8 GP · 8 GP6637%2.70
Adrian KempeLOS · RW · 3 G in 8 GP · 8 GP3524%4.21
Roman KantserovCHI · RW · 3 G in 7 GP · 7 GP3324%4.23
Frank NazarCHI · C · 3 G in 9 GP · 9 GP3122%4.56
Brandt ClarkeLOS · D · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2519%5.24
Alex LaferriereLOS · RW · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2418%5.52
Teuvo TeräväinenCHI · C · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2318%5.61
Ryan DonatoCHI · C · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2217%5.82
Tyler BertuzziCHI · LW · 2 G in 8 GP · 8 GP2317%5.90
Scott LaughtonLOS · C · 1 G in 5 GP · 5 GP1216%6.33

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Photo credits (9)

Artemi Panarin · Tlop2000, CC BY-SA 4.0
Adrian Kempe · Ryan Tanner, CC0
Frank Nazar · Sandro Halank, Wikimedia Commons, CC BY-SA 4.0
Brandt Clarke · TheAHL, CC BY-SA 4.0
Alex Laferriere · Kenneth C. Zirkel, CC BY 4.0
Teuvo Teräväinen · Jenn G from Seattle, WA, CC BY-SA 2.0
Ryan Donato · Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0
Tyler Bertuzzi · TheAHL, CC BY 2.0
Scott Laughton · Jessica, CC BY-SA 2.0

All NHL goal scorer picks today

Who will win Chicago Blackhawks vs Los Angeles Kings?

The numbers side with Los Angeles Kings (52%) on the road against Chicago Blackhawks, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Chicago Blackhawks have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 3.8 goals a game over that stretch. Los Angeles Kings have won 2 of their last 5, scoring 2.2 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch.

Chicago Blackhawks sit 15th in the Western Conference, while Los Angeles Kings sit 13th in the Western Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Chicago Blackhawks rate −0.56 and Los Angeles Kings −0.18 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.37 goals to Los Angeles Kings. Home ice is worth about 0.25 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Los Angeles Kings 42% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 21%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

Our own lines for this game: Los Angeles Kings −1.5 on the puck line (27%) and 5.5 total goals, with the over at 53% (6.1 projected).

Los Angeles Kings to win, overtime and shootout included (52%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.