KHL

Dynamo Moscow vs Khabarovsk prediction

Dynamo Moscow7–10–4 · Home Khabarovsk9–7–1 · Away07:30 PMOct 28

42%win chance incl. overtime58%

Our pick

58%KHA58%KHA

Khabarovsk to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.72 · projected 1–2

Our model makes Khabarovsk 58% favourites on the road against Dynamo Moscow, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 2–1 final.

After 60 minutes

DYNDynamo Moscow in 60'

31%

Tied → OTTied → OT

23%

KHAKhabarovsk in 60'

46%

Game flow

DYN 1.8 · KHA 2.2 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.5–0.5

P2 · 0.7–0.8

P3 · 0.6–0.9

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Khabarovsk58%1.72
Regulation result (60 minutes)Khabarovsk46%2.17
Puck lineDynamo Moscow +1.573%1.37
Total goalsUnder 4.556%1.79
Both teams to scoreYes75%1.34

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Khabarovsk

58%fair 1.72

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Khabarovsk

46%fair 2.17

Puck line

Dynamo Moscow +1.5

73%fair 1.37

Total goals

Under 4.5

56%fair 1.79

Both teams to score

Yes

75%fair 1.34

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

Y. LikhachyovKHA · 5 G in 14 GP · 14 GP5323%4.35
M. LetunovDYN · 7 G in 13 GP · 13 GP7223%4.40
N. MerkleyDYN · 6 G in 21 GP · 21 GP6117%5.73
P. ShenDYN · 5 G in 17 GP · 17 GP5117%5.95
K. PilipenkoKHA · 4 G in 17 GP · 17 GP4216%6.39
A. ShvaryovKHA · 4 G in 17 GP · 17 GP4415%6.48
D. PylenkovDYN · 4 G in 18 GP · 18 GP4514%7.15
A. KruchininKHA · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2013%7.41
V. AbramovKHA · 3 G in 16 GP · 16 GP3313%7.42
J. WealDYN · 2 G in 20 GP · 20 GP248%11.85

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Dynamo Moscow vs Khabarovsk?

Our model makes Khabarovsk 58% favourites on the road against Dynamo Moscow, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 2–1 final.

Dynamo Moscow have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 2.4 goals a game over that stretch. Khabarovsk have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 1.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Dynamo Moscow sit 9th in the Western Conference, while Khabarovsk sit 6th in the Eastern Conference.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Dynamo Moscow rate −0.36 and Khabarovsk +0.18 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.53 goals to Khabarovsk. Home ice is worth about 0.12 goals a game in this league.

About 23% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why Khabarovsk win it in regulation only 46% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 58%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Dynamo Moscow 0, Khabarovsk 1); the latest finished Khabarovsk 4–0 Dynamo Moscow on 2026-09-19.

Our own lines for this game: Khabarovsk −1.5 on the puck line (27%) and 4.5 total goals, with the under at 56% (4.2 projected).

Khabarovsk to win, overtime and shootout included (58%). Projected score: 2–1.