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Krefeld Pinguine vs Schwenninger Wild Wings prediction

Krefeld Pinguine4–6–1 · Home Schwenninger Wild Wings5–6–1 · Away07:30 PMOct 28

58%win chance incl. overtime42%

Our pick

58%KRE58%KRE

Krefeld Pinguine to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.71 · projected 3–2

The numbers side with Krefeld Pinguine (58%) at home against Schwenninger Wild Wings, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

After 60 minutes

KREKrefeld Pinguine in 60'

49%

Tied → OTTied → OT

19%

SCHSchwenninger Wild Wings in 60'

33%

Game flow

KRE 3.1 · SCH 2.6 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.0–0.6

P2 · 1.0–0.5

P3 · 1.1–1.4

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)Krefeld Pinguine58%1.71
Regulation result (60 minutes)Krefeld Pinguine49%2.06
Puck lineSchwenninger Wild Wings +1.568%1.48
Total goalsUnder 5.551%1.96
Both teams to scoreYes88%1.13

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

Krefeld Pinguine

58%fair 1.71

Regulation result (60 minutes)

Krefeld Pinguine

49%fair 2.06

Puck line

Schwenninger Wild Wings +1.5

68%fair 1.48

Total goals

Under 5.5

51%fair 1.96

Both teams to score

Yes

88%fair 1.13

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

M. SantosKRE · 7 G in 11 GP · 11 GP7536%2.80
M. HofflinSCH · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6527%3.75
A. PayerlKRE · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4225%3.99
P. FeistSCH · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5724%4.16
M. NewtonKRE · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4324%4.21
K. PlatzerSCH · 4 G in 11 GP · 11 GP4522%4.49
P. GogullaKRE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3520%5.11
M. MullerKRE · 3 G in 11 GP · 11 GP3019%5.27
H. HaneltSCH · 2 G in 9 GP · 9 GP2616%6.25
A. DziamborSCH · 2 G in 7 GP · 7 GP2215%6.50

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win Krefeld Pinguine vs Schwenninger Wild Wings?

The numbers side with Krefeld Pinguine (58%) at home against Schwenninger Wild Wings, with 3–2 the most likely final score.

Krefeld Pinguine have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.8 and allowing 3.4 goals a game over that stretch. Schwenninger Wild Wings have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.0 and allowing 2.6 goals a game over that stretch.

Krefeld Pinguine sit 11th, while Schwenninger Wild Wings sit 10th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, Krefeld Pinguine rate −0.15 and Schwenninger Wild Wings −0.35 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.20 goals to Krefeld Pinguine. Home ice is worth about 0.30 goals a game in this league.

In regulation the model gives Krefeld Pinguine 49% to win inside 60 minutes and puts the chance of a tie after three periods at 19%; a tie goes to overtime and, if needed, a shootout.

These teams have met 1 time recently (Krefeld Pinguine 1, Schwenninger Wild Wings 0); the latest finished Krefeld Pinguine 5–2 Schwenninger Wild Wings on 2026-09-27.

Our own lines for this game: Krefeld Pinguine −1.5 on the puck line (32%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 51% (5.8 projected).

Krefeld Pinguine to win, overtime and shootout included (58%). Projected score: 3–2.