HockeyAllsvenskan

AIK vs Vimmerby prediction

AIK11–1–1 · Home Vimmerby3–7–2 · Away07:00 PMOct 28

70%win chance incl. overtime30%

Our pick

70%AIK70%AIK

AIK to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.43 · projected 3–2

AIK are the pick at home against Vimmerby: a 70% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

After 60 minutes

AIKAIK in 60'

61%

Tied → OTTied → OT

17%

VIMVimmerby in 60'

22%

Game flow

AIK 3.7 · VIM 2.4 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 1.3–0.4

P2 · 1.2–1.0

P3 · 1.3–1.0

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)AIK70%1.43
Regulation result (60 minutes)AIK61%1.65
Puck lineVimmerby +1.555%1.81
Total goalsUnder 6.553%1.88
Both teams to scoreYes89%1.12

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

AIK

70%fair 1.43

Regulation result (60 minutes)

AIK

61%fair 1.65

Puck line

Vimmerby +1.5

55%fair 1.81

Total goals

Under 6.5

53%fair 1.88

Both teams to score

Yes

89%fair 1.12

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

O. JohanssonAIK · 6 G in 12 GP · 12 GP6328%3.62
M. KarlssonVIM · 7 G in 12 GP · 12 GP7227%3.71
V. LennartssonAIK · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5426%3.79
D. LjungmanAIK · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5526%3.82
K. CarlssonVIM · 6 G in 12 GP · 12 GP6426%3.84
R. RudslattAIK · 4 G in 8 GP · 8 GP4326%3.91
R. RolstonAIK · 4 G in 10 GP · 10 GP4323%4.34
H. LejonVIM · 5 G in 12 GP · 12 GP5622%4.55
H. KarlssonVIM · 3 G in 12 GP · 12 GP3015%6.64
J. MornsjoVIM · 2 G in 12 GP · 12 GP2312%8.69

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win AIK vs Vimmerby?

AIK are the pick at home against Vimmerby: a 70% chance to win, overtime included, and a projected 3–2 score.

AIK have won 4 of their last 5, scoring 4.6 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch. Vimmerby have won 1 of their last 5, scoring 2.0 and allowing 3.6 goals a game over that stretch.

AIK sit 1st, while Vimmerby sit 13th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, AIK rate +0.51 and Vimmerby −0.48 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.99 goals to AIK. Home ice is worth about 0.32 goals a game in this league.

About 17% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why AIK win it in regulation only 61% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 70%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (AIK 1, Vimmerby 0); the latest finished Vimmerby 2–4 AIK on 2026-09-23.

Our own lines for this game: AIK −1.5 on the puck line (45%) and 6.5 total goals, with the under at 53% (6.3 projected).

AIK to win, overtime and shootout included (70%). Projected score: 3–2.