Mestis

K-Vantaa vs RoKi prediction

K-Vantaa8–3–0 · Home RoKi7–4–0 · Away06:30 PMOct 30

55%win chance incl. overtime45%

Our pick

55%KVA55%KVA

K-Vantaa to win

incl. overtime · fair odds 1.82 · projected 3–2

Our model makes K-Vantaa 55% favourites at home against RoKi, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

After 60 minutes

KVAK-Vantaa in 60'

44%

Tied → OTTied → OT

21%

ROKRoKi in 60'

35%

Game flow

KVA 2.8 · ROK 2.5 expected goals in 60 minutes

P1 · 0.7–0.8

P2 · 0.7–0.5

P3 · 1.5–1.3

Our model's expected goals for each side in regulation, split by period the way both teams' last ten games went (goals scored and allowed per period).

Markets

PickWin chanceFair odds

Moneyline (incl. overtime)K-Vantaa55%1.82
Regulation result (60 minutes)K-Vantaa44%2.26
Puck lineRoKi +1.572%1.40
Total goalsUnder 5.555%1.83
Both teams to scoreYes87%1.15

Moneyline (incl. overtime)

K-Vantaa

55%fair 1.82

Regulation result (60 minutes)

K-Vantaa

44%fair 2.26

Puck line

RoKi +1.5

72%fair 1.40

Total goals

Under 5.5

55%fair 1.83

Both teams to score

Yes

87%fair 1.15

Probabilities come from a rating model fitted on this season's results; when bookmakers price the game they are blended with the market consensus.

Who scores

Anytime goal, overtime included

PlayerGPts L5ChanceFair odds

V. RasanenKVA · 6 G in 11 GP · 11 GP6532%3.17
R. GustafssonKVA · 6 G in 10 GP · 10 GP6230%3.33
S. MoilanenKVA · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4226%3.86
V. SavolainenROK · 6 G in 10 GP · 10 GP6626%3.91
R. LahnaviikKVA · 5 G in 11 GP · 11 GP5024%4.22
T. AlankoROK · 5 G in 10 GP · 10 GP5421%4.71
E. KaarelaROK · 4 G in 9 GP · 9 GP4420%4.88
N. TenhovuoriKVA · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3320%5.12
J. ManninenROK · 2 G in 5 GP · 5 GP2316%6.18
M. MikkolaROK · 3 G in 10 GP · 10 GP3316%6.45

The chance that the player scores at least once, overtime included: his share of his team’s goals this season (recent games count more) times the goals we expect from his team. Tested on two NHL seasons. There is no lineup feed: a player who sits out keeps his row and counts as a miss.

Who will win K-Vantaa vs RoKi?

Our model makes K-Vantaa 55% favourites at home against RoKi, overtime and shootout included, and projects a 3–2 final.

K-Vantaa have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 2.4 and allowing 2.8 goals a game over that stretch. RoKi have won 3 of their last 5, scoring 3.4 and allowing 3.0 goals a game over that stretch.

K-Vantaa sit 2nd, while RoKi sit 5th.

Adjusted for the opponents they have faced, K-Vantaa rate +0.07 and RoKi +0.21 goals per game against an average team, an edge of 0.14 goals to RoKi. Home ice is worth about 0.44 goals a game in this league.

About 21% of games like this one are level after 60 minutes, which is why K-Vantaa win it in regulation only 44% of the time on our numbers; overtime and the shootout make up the rest of the 55%.

These teams have met 1 time recently (K-Vantaa 0, RoKi 1); the latest finished RoKi 4–1 K-Vantaa on 2026-10-02.

Our own lines for this game: K-Vantaa −1.5 on the puck line (28%) and 5.5 total goals, with the under at 55% (5.6 projected).

K-Vantaa to win, overtime and shootout included (55%). Projected score: 3–2. It is close to a coin flip, so treat the lean with care.